Showing posts with label citiseconline. Show all posts
Showing posts with label citiseconline. Show all posts

Friday, December 31, 2010

The Year 2010

I have been interested on equities ever since I was an undergrad, but it was only until 5 months ago that I have started actual trading.   Before, I was only into speculative trading (during the time of Pan Xenia's Stock Wars and up to my daily stock-trading simulations at work while I was in Japan).  Now that I have invested real money, I try to study technical analysis and monitor the market, gathering tips/rumors from other fellow traders online to help manage my trades. 

Below is the 1 year chart for the PSE index: (credit: ATR Kim Eng)
As can be seen on the graph, 2010 in general has been on the uptrend.  The steepest rise was on September to the beginning of November.  My first trade was only on July 20.  I had been in the Philippines since February, but I had just procrastinated opening an account with Citiseconline.  In fact, I had been procrastinating for more than a year now, even while I was having my short Xmas vacations in the Philippines.  The subprime crash of 2008 had already ended, and it could have been a good time to invest on equities at the start of 2009.

Anyway, going back to the PSEi, the index performed a year-to-date gain of 37.62%.  The index is composed mostly by blue chip companies and other sectoral representatives that could best describe total market performance in the Philippines. 

Since I have only started 5 months ago, I should compare my performance to at least the 6 month gain of the PSEi which is at 24.56%.  The goal of an equity trader is to beat the market, meaning to have higher gains compared that to the index or to any other Mutual fund available.  ATR Kim Eng's Equity fund, which I also have since Dec 2007, reports a YTD (2010) gain of 51.75% (wow!) or a 6 month performance of 26.55%, still higher than the index.

Given the above figures, my performance then shows a dismal rate at only 13.24%.  Actual profit gains (cash outs) are at 12.28%.  Despite the relative low performance, I should bear in mind that my investment cost wasn't all the same from the start.  In fact, I had more than doubled the investment at the 3rd month, which was already too late for the bull run; thus, in effect only diluted the figures.  My computation for my equity performance is basically just dividing the current equity value (or cash outs) divided by the total cost of investment, regardless of the time of additional entry.

Anyway, I would still like to stick with the current figures as my YTD performance, to encourage me more to surpass these levels next year.  These first few months in trading serves as a test-run for my trading system, considering that I am also now doing full time in graduate studies.  At least now, I am able to understand and feel the market; hopefully, leading me on to wiser trades on the following months.

As part of my year-end analysis, I shall list down what I had experienced below:
1.) I started as a short term trader, being able to monitor the market daily, as a bum (not working, but waiting until classes start).  As soon as classes have started, and going on from midterms to finals, I was no longer able to religiously monitor the market.  Thus, I have decided to shift from being a short term trader to a mid-term/long term.  Doing short-term trading while not being able to monitor the market daily would only lead me to losses and/or missing out on swings.

2.) I still have problems in cutting my losses, always hoping that stocks would rebound in a while.  Quite easy on a bull run, but bulls aren't always there.  I have experienced this during the market correction last Nov-Dec, losing around 17% from URC and 9% from DGTL.  If only I was able to define my stops (i.e. -8% in 1 month), then I would have managed to reduce my losses.

3.) I am still practicing with Fundamental and Technical Analyses.  Before I enter a stock, I should at least have studied it well.  "Trade with a Plan".

...
Others to follow.

Friday, December 10, 2010

GTC Orders Are Back!

Got this announcement from COL (Citiseconline):

COL ANNOUNCEMENT: CitisecOnline GTC Order Reactivation.
- Please be informed that we will be reactivating the COL GTC Order Entry function by December 13, 2010. GTC orders are limit orders which are valid for seven (7) calendar days. This service will now be fully available for all COL customers again by Monday, thank y...ou very much for all the patience!

This is welcome news for busy traders like me, who no longer have the time to monitor the stock market religiously.  Ever since the start of midterms, I was not able to trade as much as I used to, due to the very tight schedule of exams and case studies.  Thankfully, with this GTC (Good-till-Canceled) option, at least I can post my trades with respect to my target entry and exit points any time during the week. :)

Monday, September 20, 2010

Re-Entry

 Citiseconline declares a bull market until next year, even increasing most FVs of companies in the PSE.  This gives additional boost to investor confidence (at least to the local market),up:gucci bags

As I have been liquid these past few days, I am now itching to re-enter the market in bullish mode.  Mining stocks are currently in play right now, unfortunately I have already missed the train.

Despite the market being in a bullish frenzy (overbought conditions are being ignored), I am still trying to be cautious for as to avoid a whiplash.  I wanted to enter PX this morning, however the huge  gap up from 14.4 to 15.26 disabled me to do so.  JGS was also of interest for me, considering the nearing IPO of Cebu Pacific on October.  My cheapskate bids were far off from the opening prices.

Since the stocks on momentum seem to be already high up, I tried searching for relatively "cheap stocks", aiming my guns on VLL and MPI.  News about MPI liquidation by PLDT scared a chunk of shareholders which gave buying opportunity to investors.  My buying indicators already showed a buy at 3.61 after bouncing off near 3.53.  I should have not hesitated on buying since its RSI indicator is no longer in the overbought region.



When I decided to buy at 3.61, the stock eventually rose up fast, making me catch up until I was able to buy at 3.67.  Momentum2 indicators show a cross at the signal line, which makes me a bit comfortable despite buying at a higher price.  "Buy high, sell higher", as they say.

I have sliced off again on my SCC, taking profits on strength.

PD:
25% MPI
25% FGEN
12.5% EDC
12.5% SCC
25% cash

Monday, August 16, 2010

JGS Bought on 8/6/2010 @18.28

chart from pse.com.ph

Tsupitero.com suggested a buy if breakout for JGS, having resistance at 17.25.   It was a bull week and I obviously entered late as JGS opened at 18.5 on 8/6.  I bought at 18.28, which was actually the pivot point leading the stock to a low of 18.20.

Citiseconline.com recommended a hold as of 8/11, having reached a high of 18.9.  The huge drop to a low of 17.9 on 8/12 was the result of the negative sentiment brought about by a drop on DOW-J. 

2 trading days after, the chart still shows an uptrend as JGS slowly climbs back to its previous position.  I hope this still continue as my break even is at around 18.50. up:gucci bags

As of 8/16
close: 18.00 
EMA: 17.89
RSI: 60.45